Shifting Baselines - The Danger of Changing Perceptions

Ever visit someplace from childhood and wonder,from that point on will strive to preserve what
"wow, I remember it being much morethey believe is a healthy population, unaware of
expansive"? Now, go back a few more times and,the losses already incurred.
before long, it will all appear normal. While notSo what can be done to avoid shifting our
entirely the same concept, this is a worthwhilebaselines? While I may have said there was no
starting point for the worrisome idea of Shiftingscience lesson, there were no promises made
Baselines. Wait, come back! It may be aregarding history! "Those who cannot remember
complicated-sounding term, but there's no sciencethe past are condemned to repeat it," - George
lesson here today. Shifting Baselines essentiallySantayana. When written, it is likely there was
represents a change in what is perceived aslittle consideration for coral reefs, forests, or
normal. It is most often applied to environmentalglobal fisheries given, however, the principle is the
degradation, specifically in the oceans. So why is asame. By educating on the past, there is a better
change in perceptions an issue? Well, say achance of saving the future.
fisherman spent their entire life working the sea,As an avid diver, snorkeler, and recreational fisher,
never changing fishing grounds. If any aspect ofI have seen a marked change in the marine
the catch changed during their life, they'd be ablehabitats frequented. Coral reefs once rich with life
to recall days of better (or worse) results. Forare, to me, comparatively barren wastelands, a
them, the baseline is constant. A "big" fish is theresult of direct (overfishing, boat groundings,
same size their entire career, as is a "good" catch.careless tourists) and indirect (increased fertilizer
Now, take the perspective of a fisherman new torunoff, inadequate sewage treatment systems,
the area. They have no idea what the conditionsdecreased freshwater flow from the Everglades)
were in years past, therefore, their "baseline" isimpacts. Of course, new visitors see the
set to when they start.still-colorful and fish-laden reef and perceive it as
Still unsure as to the dangers of a shiftingbeautiful and unspoiled. My baseline, while not one
baseline? Here's some specifics to paint a clearerof an "unspoiled" environment either, would be
picture:inconceivably stunning to those onlookers.
- Fisherman 1 (lifelong resident) considers a "bigSo now, with a newfound understanding of the
fish" 150 lbs. and a "good" catch 1,000 lbs.troubles facing continually shifting perceptions, I
- Fisherman 2 (new resident) has no previouswant your opinion! What can be done to stem the
experience, so a "big fish" for them is 50 lbs. andcontinuing change in baselines, no matter the field?
a subsequently "good" catch nets (forgive theAlso, have you experienced a Shifting Baseline,
pun) 400 lbs.where others applauded what was once
Due to this principle, modern onlookers haveconsidered subpar? Tell us about it! Send your
"shifted" their "baselines" (perception of normal)story to A particularly-inspiring recollection, with
and don't realize the massive decreases in bothyour permission, will be reprinted on our blog and
fish size and numbers. Conservation measureswebsite.